Whatever is happening in Japan, things genuinely seem to have turned a corner. This is not what knowledgeable people in the public health system expected to see happen. It's vital that we figure out why rapidly growing infection numbers didn't culminate in a crisis here in April.https://twitter.com/jt_mag_os/status/1259403143659483136 …
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You can say masks did it, but mask-wearing was already ubiquitous during the time when cases were on the rise in March. Behavior changed a lot, but restaurants and offices never fully closed. It is a huge relief after media warnings of 400K potential deaths, but also a puzzle.
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I rib
@patio11 a lot, but he's a smart guy with his ear to the ground here, and he was anticipating a vastly different outcome, too. I will say personally that it's delightful to be wrong in these circumstances. My doom and gloom was not consistent with what happened.Show this thread -
I want to re-iterate that I'm not being coy with some private theory, but struggling to understand a disease that made way more sense to me in March.
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End of conversation
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Yeah. Best guess I've seen is carryover resistance from exposure to a similar-enough coronavirus with mild symptoms in the past, and if that's true, we need to track it down for vaccine purposes. So many unanswered questions.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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