If you write an article about how Sweden or Belarus or Florida is going to be carpeted with bodies because they didn't follow social distancing rules, and then it doesn't happen, please have the courtesy to write a follow-up about how it's curious that those forecasts were wrong
-
Show this thread
-
I seem to recall a lot of this "florida morons" stuff that has gone completely unexamined since. But calamities that don't happen in a pandemic are an interesting clue. It's not just about dunking on bad predictions; understanding this could save lives!pic.twitter.com/9eom4UhkgB
3 replies 5 retweets 53 likesShow this thread -
My specific request to journalists is: 1) Review dire forecasts you made in the past weeks 2) Be honest about things that surprise you 3) Don't ignore negative evidence 4) Do this iteratively
6 replies 8 retweets 67 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @Pinboard
The smart thermometer data was also giving alarmingly disastrous predictions for Florida I'm not accusing anyone of exaggeration or anything, but it would be interesting to know what went wrong specifically https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/18/health/coronavirus-fever-thermometers.html …
4 replies 1 retweet 6 likes -
Replying to @d_feldman @Pinboard
Sorry but could you point out these “disastrous predictions for Florida” made by the journalist/or even by the thermometer tech person? I read the article and didn’t find them.
2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
I should have bookmarked them!
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.