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Pinboard

@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 9 May 2020

      If you write an article about how Sweden or Belarus or Florida is going to be carpeted with bodies because they didn't follow social distancing rules, and then it doesn't happen, please have the courtesy to write a follow-up about how it's curious that those forecasts were wrong

      11 replies 17 retweets 108 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Protik Islam-Jakobsson‏ @ikitorp 9 May 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      We probably have well over 3,500 dead, 1,700 who've required ICU care—with 470 still in ICU—of which many will require extensive rehabilitation, all in a sparsely populated country with a mere 10.3 million residents. It's the worst disaster in Sweden in generations.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 9 May 2020
      Replying to @ikitorp

      I don't doubt it, and I'm not arguing that this disease is not serious or not causing enormous harm.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Protik Islam-Jakobsson‏ @ikitorp 9 May 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      No, I hear ya; just trying to say that it's difficult to get a good discussion about how forecasters have fared when there's so much disagreement—both at home and abroad—about what the facts are, and how those facts should best be contextualized.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 9 May 2020
      Replying to @ikitorp

      I'm personally interested in what factor keeps the pandemic from raging out of control in such circumstances, but you are right that this is hard to disentangle from the debate about a policy that accepts a high, steady rate of deaths.

      11:31 AM - 9 May 2020
      • 3 Likes
      • Åse (social-distancing for 38 yrs & counting) Mike Brajkovich Protik Islam-Jakobsson
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Protik Islam-Jakobsson‏ @ikitorp 9 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          If we're handing out grades we might wanna hand out big fat Fs to those who were convinced non-pharmacological interventions would be useless in modern western democracies full of freedom-loving people. But re. your question and your earlier thread 1/

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Protik Islam-Jakobsson‏ @ikitorp 9 May 2020
          Replying to @ikitorp @Pinboard

          though I share the interest in finding a single explanation, the single explanation may itself be multifaceted, ie. a model with several important variables (eg. number of seed cases, % of pop. susceptible to 𝘴𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘦 illness, policies & how they shape behavior, etc). 2/

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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