If you write an article about how Sweden or Belarus or Florida is going to be carpeted with bodies because they didn't follow social distancing rules, and then it doesn't happen, please have the courtesy to write a follow-up about how it's curious that those forecasts were wrong
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No, I hear ya; just trying to say that it's difficult to get a good discussion about how forecasters have fared when there's so much disagreement—both at home and abroad—about what the facts are, and how those facts should best be contextualized.
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I mean, it seems difficult to even determine exactly what was forecast. See eg. this weird article by John Fund in National Review:https://twitter.com/ikitorp/status/1258767393779863552 …
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