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@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 9 May 2020

      If you write an article about how Sweden or Belarus or Florida is going to be carpeted with bodies because they didn't follow social distancing rules, and then it doesn't happen, please have the courtesy to write a follow-up about how it's curious that those forecasts were wrong

      11 replies 17 retweets 108 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Lukas Bergstrom‏ @lukasb 9 May 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      Your larger point stands, but Sweden is my go-to "they ignored it, and look what happened to them." Of course their per-capita death rate could be much higher than other Scandinavian countries for some other, obscure reason, we know so little at this point.

      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 9 May 2020
      Replying to @lukasb

      The thing that didn't happen that interests me is an exponential blowup in cases. They are certainly seeing more deaths than neighboring countries, but they seem to be at a steady state of new cases

      11:08 AM - 9 May 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • Åse (social-distancing for 38 yrs & counting) tom cunningham
      4 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Ryan Moulton  💉 💉 🥳‏ @moultano 9 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard @lukasb

          Can't have an exponential blow up in cases without an exponential blow up in test capacity. Look at deaths.

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 9 May 2020
          Replying to @moultano @lukasb

          I agree that excess deaths are the metric to follow until we can get fuller data

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. Ben‏ @Boingphoto 9 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard @lukasb

          It’s all down to voluntary isolation.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Geoff Langdale‏ @geofflangdale 9 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard @lukasb

          Why did you expect an exponential blowup in cases? That's not the curve for epidemics and never has been - it only looks exponential early on. In fact, there's way too much triumphal "look, we flattened the curve" stuff from people who don't seem to be aware of this.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Geoff Langdale‏ @geofflangdale 9 May 2020
          Replying to @geofflangdale @Pinboard @lukasb

          All of Belgium would be dead by now if we fitted exponential curves. That said, Sweden has settled into a very high per-capita death rate that's way worse than fellow Nordic countries. I don't get the way people are playing "gotcha" just because all the Swedes aren't dead.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. R. Travis Atkins‏ @travisatkins 9 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard @lukasb

          it’s super simple, after people saw just how deadly it was in the early stages, they immediately started staying home alone. That’s why there hasn’t been an exponential blow up of cases, and also the reason the economy in Sweden is being eviscerated:https://apple.news/AUSuyzzUrQtiEdMh5L7Cp7w …

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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