If you write an article about how Sweden or Belarus or Florida is going to be carpeted with bodies because they didn't follow social distancing rules, and then it doesn't happen, please have the courtesy to write a follow-up about how it's curious that those forecasts were wrong
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Can't have an exponential blow up in cases without an exponential blow up in test capacity. Look at deaths.
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I agree that excess deaths are the metric to follow until we can get fuller data
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It’s all down to voluntary isolation.
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Why did you expect an exponential blowup in cases? That's not the curve for epidemics and never has been - it only looks exponential early on. In fact, there's way too much triumphal "look, we flattened the curve" stuff from people who don't seem to be aware of this.
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All of Belgium would be dead by now if we fitted exponential curves. That said, Sweden has settled into a very high per-capita death rate that's way worse than fellow Nordic countries. I don't get the way people are playing "gotcha" just because all the Swedes aren't dead.
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it’s super simple, after people saw just how deadly it was in the early stages, they immediately started staying home alone. That’s why there hasn’t been an exponential blow up of cases, and also the reason the economy in Sweden is being eviscerated:https://apple.news/AUSuyzzUrQtiEdMh5L7Cp7w …
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