If you write an article about how Sweden or Belarus or Florida is going to be carpeted with bodies because they didn't follow social distancing rules, and then it doesn't happen, please have the courtesy to write a follow-up about how it's curious that those forecasts were wrong
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Yes, if no social distancing took place and r0 remained high. Do you think everyone in Sweden is going about their days regularly or something? Even without a strong mandate, a large % of people are likely still aggressively distancing. That could drive things to equilibrium.
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I can’t find a non-paywalled link but YoY small business revenue’s cratered in a pretty similar way to the US. Plus the degree of official mitigation policies in Sweden (it’s not all recommended/laissez-faire!) isn’t far from what places like CA/WA look like in practice.
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Yeah there does seem to be some natural limits to the exponential growth. Sweden certainly doesn’t seem like some model of success though. They took limited precautions and have had limited success.https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bloomberg.com/amp/opinion/articles/2020-05-01/covid-19-sweden-hasn-t-cracked-the-coronavirus-code …
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I think the key takeaway is that the measures taken here in Sweden are sufficient to flatten the curve, while still enabling life to go on. They also have to be considered in the light of our constitutional framework.https://bppblog.com/2020/04/23/the-swedish-exception/ …
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