People are writing stories about why Brazil is facing a rapid rise in coronavirus cases, but I want to read the stories about why Egypt, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Nigeria and Pakistan are not. And they really aren't, and it is beyond time for people to get curious about why not.
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How America or more specific regions in the country shouldn’t and can’t responsibly rely on what’s happening or not happening in Pakistan.
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Even within the US it varies a lot state by state
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sherman's march to the cure
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Maybe...people are distancing on their own and that cuts down R, some european countries have had really big issues with old, vulnerable populations either in nursing homes or in households, poorer countries are younger (still doesn’t explain japan, maybe old people live alone?)
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FWIW, I came across this take on Al Jazeera on why many African countries have been spared, relatively speaking. Not sure I find all of it persuasive, but at least it tackles the questions you're asking:https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/problem-predicting-coronavirus-apocalypse-africa-200505103847843.html …
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there may be some undercounting, but I also suspect still-undermodeled factors include: 1/ in lower-life expectancy societies, more vulnerable/aged already felled by other maladies; 2/ large mortality contribution of ‘rich society’ maladies like obesity; ...+
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3/ some previously-circulating ‘common cold’ coronavirus has left differential levels of partial immunity in different populations - especially those that ‘normally’ have ‘worse’ cold/flu control (eg https://twitter.com/gojomo/status/1254908616248868869 …) ...+
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@threadreaderapp unroll pls -
Salam, here is your unroll:
@Pinboard: People are writing stories about why Brazil is facing a rapid rise in coronavirus cases, but I want to read… https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1258939561750585344.html … Share this if you think it's interesting.
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Check out Australia & NZ anytime you like. Lockdown, coherent plan and good compliance, and once the numbers dropped to low levels ,not plateau’d) easing back. And, no chance of USA visitors for years, you guys have stuffed this. One.
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) that people with lingering immunity to common-cold coronaviruses may have some immunity or head-start fighting Covid-19: