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@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 8 May 2020

      People are writing stories about why Brazil is facing a rapid rise in coronavirus cases, but I want to read the stories about why Egypt, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Nigeria and Pakistan are not. And they really aren't, and it is beyond time for people to get curious about why not.

      48 replies 82 retweets 348 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 8 May 2020

      In the 1918 flu pandemic, mortality rates were something like 10x higher in the poorest countries. The universal belief in February 2020 was that the developing world would be hit hardest by this pandemic. What did we get wrong, and how can we capitalize on it?

      4 replies 10 retweets 63 likes
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    3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 8 May 2020

      There is a tension between saying we must lock down the US until a vaccine is ready, and the empirical fact that most of the world is not having a great deal of trouble keeping this epidemic contained. The circular explanation that they all have better policy doesn't hold up.

      8 replies 10 retweets 69 likes
      Show this thread
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 8 May 2020

      You can claim that everybody is lying and undercounting, and the whole world looks like Lombardy and London, but if that's true, where are the bodies? This should be the #1 mystery about coronavirus we attempt to solve, because it might offer a quicker way out of the crisis.

      7:07 PM - 8 May 2020
      • 14 Retweets
      • 77 Likes
      • A clusterfuck of internalized chaos jsled 🧦 Bento Hlopa Natalie Patrice Tucker Lasosmaes 🏴 renfield kuroda 🌎 Richard Alexander R. Travis Atkins
      7 replies 14 retweets 77 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 8 May 2020

          On a domestic U.S. note, this raises an urgent question—what if we really can lift restrictions across most of the country safely? Republicans who say this are being vilified, but honesty compels us to say they have strong evidence on their side. People need to get more curious

          8 replies 5 retweets 61 likes
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        3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 8 May 2020

          Again, it's really hurting us to have most of the American media be highly neurotic residents of the cities hit hardest by this disease

          6 replies 13 retweets 102 likes
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        4. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 8 May 2020

          Standard responses I get to this line of inquiry are "just you wait, it will get worse", "we're not seeing the real data", and "show me the peer-reviewed studies that back this up". But we can't all go McClellan on this topic, and refuse to act on partial information in a crisis

          12 replies 4 retweets 53 likes
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        5. End of conversation
        1. electroponix, llc‏ @electroponix 8 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          It likes Big Corn™! attn: @SwiftOnSecuritypic.twitter.com/4obAq4lmd0

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Mark Linsey‏ @mlinsey 8 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          One guess for part of the delta but not all of it: Pop over 65 / Under 25 Bangladesh 6.42% / 46% Nigeria 3.26% / 62% Indonesia 7% / 42% Egypt 4.2% / 52% Pakistan 3.3% / 62% USA 16% / 31% Italy 21.6 / 23.2

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 8 May 2020
          Replying to @mlinsey

          But then you have to explain Japan. Most people do this by starting to add caveats to their explanation.

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Alan Paxton‏ @alanpaxton 9 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          All the smart people I follow admit they just don’t know. Funny how US talks about “Lombardy and London” like UK media fixates about “tragedies of Lombardy and New York”. I wonder what they say in Milan ?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Omar‏ @doesnotexist 9 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          The median age in Egypt is about 26 years old. 29 in Indonesia. It’s 38 in the USA.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Gorgi Kosev‏ @spion 9 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          The main mechanism of the virus is to take ACE2 out of commission. This leads to => increased Ang II => increased inflammation. The standard western diet results with constant low-to-medium levels of inflammation (which also lead to the common virus comorbidities)

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Gorgi Kosev‏ @spion 9 May 2020
          Replying to @spion @Pinboard

          Seehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gzx8LH4Fjic …

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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