People are writing stories about why Brazil is facing a rapid rise in coronavirus cases, but I want to read the stories about why Egypt, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Nigeria and Pakistan are not. And they really aren't, and it is beyond time for people to get curious about why not.
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On a domestic U.S. note, this raises an urgent question—what if we really can lift restrictions across most of the country safely? Republicans who say this are being vilified, but honesty compels us to say they have strong evidence on their side. People need to get more curious
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Again, it's really hurting us to have most of the American media be highly neurotic residents of the cities hit hardest by this disease
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Standard responses I get to this line of inquiry are "just you wait, it will get worse", "we're not seeing the real data", and "show me the peer-reviewed studies that back this up". But we can't all go McClellan on this topic, and refuse to act on partial information in a crisis
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It likes Big Corn™! attn:
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One guess for part of the delta but not all of it: Pop over 65 / Under 25 Bangladesh 6.42% / 46% Nigeria 3.26% / 62% Indonesia 7% / 42% Egypt 4.2% / 52% Pakistan 3.3% / 62% USA 16% / 31% Italy 21.6 / 23.2
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But then you have to explain Japan. Most people do this by starting to add caveats to their explanation.
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All the smart people I follow admit they just don’t know. Funny how US talks about “Lombardy and London” like UK media fixates about “tragedies of Lombardy and New York”. I wonder what they say in Milan ?
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The median age in Egypt is about 26 years old. 29 in Indonesia. It’s 38 in the USA.
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The main mechanism of the virus is to take ACE2 out of commission. This leads to => increased Ang II => increased inflammation. The standard western diet results with constant low-to-medium levels of inflammation (which also lead to the common virus comorbidities)
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