People in New York City are getting coronavirus just sittng and self-isolating at home. 66% of hospital admissions fit that profile. Meanwhile, Japan seems to be turning the corner with very little intervention. Nothing about this makes sense to me.https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/06/ny-gov-cuomo-says-its-shocking-most-new-coronavirus-hospitalizations-are-people-staying-home.html …
He was discussing an explosion that didn't come, though it was universally expected. I am curious to hear what he thinks of the situation now.
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Not really a Twitter-friendly discussion but I think we have a difference of opinion on: * universality of predictions * probable number of cases in April * probable number of excess deaths to date * current state of medical system in various places
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I gave up raising stuff with you directly because you speak in cryptographic hashes. I base my information on an epidemiologist friend working in the Osaka region, and on the absence of body count. I propose we just wait a few more weeks and see who was right.
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