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Pinboard

@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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Joined July 2009

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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 7 May 2020

      People in New York City are getting coronavirus just sittng and self-isolating at home. 66% of hospital admissions fit that profile. Meanwhile, Japan seems to be turning the corner with very little intervention. Nothing about this makes sense to me. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/06/ny-gov-cuomo-says-its-shocking-most-new-coronavirus-hospitalizations-are-people-staying-home.html …

      35 replies 28 retweets 107 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 7 May 2020

      There's coronavirus epidemic lite and coronavirus x-treme, no convincing explanation for the difference, and a thousand theories, none of which persuasively fit all the data until you start mixing and matching them together into a complex quilt of rationalization

      3 replies 8 retweets 56 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 7 May 2020

      Nothing about my degree from the Twitter Institute of Public Health prepared me for this

      3 replies 28 retweets 175 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 7 May 2020

      The assumption has been that New York or Lombardy is what inevitably happens to you if you don't take the strictest measures. But what if in most places, Tokyo is what happens to you? It will be really encouraging if we can figure out this baffling difference and mobilize it.

      6 replies 3 retweets 42 likes
      Show this thread
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 7 May 2020

      Took a break from people Japansplaining to me in the comments about how the country is on strictest lockdown to pick up some fresh bread at the corner bakery.

      3:47 PM - 7 May 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 55 Likes
      • @lahosken 🇺🇸 second-class borough dweller hell's joker Dataghoul Kate Carruthers 😷🧤🦠💉 Sam John Lee Chris Vermilion John D Pell
      7 replies 1 retweet 55 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nicole Gustas‏ @rednikki 7 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          Many places with big outbreaks have involved shared cafeterias/catering. (Prisons, meat packing plants, nursing homes, funerals and weddings, a Catholic girl’s school in New Zealand.) What if asymptomatic people can transmit it through food, and takeout is a contagion factor?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Nicole Gustas‏ @rednikki 7 May 2020
          Replying to @rednikki @Pinboard

          Oh, and cruise ships. When I looked at “super spreader” events, I thought, “gee, some of those places involve everyone eating from one dining facility.” Then I started researching and they ALL did. It could be a coincidence or it could be the missing link.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. RichardT‏ @xthread 7 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          Are you certain that the people in New York who are self isolating are self-isolating *alone?* Early on China reported 85% of spread was family-member to family-member within households, until they started central quarantine.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Ben Recht‏ @beenwrekt 7 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          I find it fascinating that every time you pen a "covid19 confuses me thread" you get dozens of competing explanations, and each explainer is convinced their answer is the correct one.

          1 reply 1 retweet 25 likes
        3. C. Scott Ananian‏ @cscottnet 7 May 2020
          Replying to @beenwrekt @Pinboard

          An open-minded person might learn something.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Ty Francis‏ @delabeler 7 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          Dude, don't want to japansplain it to you, but go do business there, and read Saving the Sun, and you will realize that Japan's numbers never make sense because they are all just made up to fit a political purpose.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 7 May 2020
          Replying to @delabeler

          I am not going by the official numbers, but by the absence of bodies in the street, or of large sections of the medical system incapacitated

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. BenGoldhaber‏ @BenGoldhaber 7 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          I'm also very confused by this - Vitamin D seems like it could be a factor? https://www.dropbox.com/s/ka7h4fbi7xdz9s9/Covid-19%20and%20Vitamin%20D%20Information.pdf?dl=0 …

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. BenGoldhaber‏ @BenGoldhaber 7 May 2020
          Replying to @BenGoldhaber @Pinboard

          Which would explain the northern bias and why Japan, with higher than average vitamin D in their diet, has been an outlierpic.twitter.com/3U2ir0UNgb

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. qole‏ @qole 7 May 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard

          I live in B.C. Canada. We're in "lockdown lite", where we can't get a haircut or go to a pub, but all the restaurants are open for take out and all the stores too, with plexiglass barriers and marks on the floor for line ups. We are doing fine.pic.twitter.com/KYDxv7egQI

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. qole‏ @qole 7 May 2020
          Replying to @qole @Pinboard

          But Quebec, just across the border from New York, and in full lockdown, is a nightmare. What's going ON?!pic.twitter.com/4iRE32QATq

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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