This to me is the six million dollar question. There's no lack of answers—but the very abundance of answers makes me think we don't have a clue. Why NYC and not Boston or Philadelphia? Why Lombardy and not Stockholm? How does *Bangladesh* come to avoid a major natural disaster?https://twitter.com/danielmintz/status/1255811045140180993 …
This explains why things started in some places and not others. But it doesn't (at least to me) adequately explain why the spread didn't happen elsewhere too, albeit later.
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Because averaging an exponential is not a good method of prediction. Non-technicla discussion: https://necsi.edu/systemic-risk-of-pandemic-via-novel-pathogens-coronavirus-a-note … Technical discussion https://arxiv.org/pdf/2004.08658.pdf …
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Maybe it will?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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