My sincere hot take on the just-announced antibody results from New York State: I can't wait to see what the experts make of it! Being able to follow real people who share their expertise for free on this site, and answer questions, is absolutely awesome.
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The culture of punditry is to advance a maximal claim, go at it hammer and tongs with opponents, and never back down. The culture of scientific research is to argue just as heatedly, but (one hopes!) converge on a conclusion rooted in reality, even if it takes a very long time
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In a situation like this, where everyone is wrong much of the time, the intellectual ratchet effect of punditry is very unwelcome. I am curious what working scientists can tell us about how to learn to back down from being wrong, which hurts! It dents the ego so bad.
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This is one of the many reasons why the "I believe in science" or "listen to what science says" takes rub me the wrong way
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Yeah, if you mean "I believe in a process that aggressively rejects its own conclusions in the face of new evidence" then
but that's like, not what people usually mean.
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I think a big problem right now is that the presence of disinformation pushes us into a defensive epistemological stance that is utterly incompatible with the messiness of unsettled science.
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