Forgive me if this is a cold question; I genuinely want to understand the answer. Isn't a 90% death rate of coronavirus patients on ventilators somewhat in tension with the message that we have to do everything in our power to flatten the curve so we don't run out of ventilators?
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Is the issue here ventilator availability for other, more survivable conditions?
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Rather than answer this a dozen times, I'll put it in the thread. The mortality statistic is from this paper. "Mortality for those requiring mechanical ventilation was 88.1%" (in a NYC hospital system) https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2765184 …
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Pinboard Retweeted Eric Topol
Also worth pointing out that the mortality data for those on a ventilator seems to vary a lot across health care systemshttps://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1253172475019448321 …
Pinboard added,
Eric TopolVerified account @EricTopolWhat is the mortality rate for#COVID19 patients put on a mechanical ventilator? A new@JAMA_current https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2765184@NorthwellHealth … provided substantial data, adding to the UK registry, and 4 other published papers w/ small patient numbers Overall death rate ~70%, weighted by top 2
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Pinboard Retweeted John W Scott, MD MPH
Follow up: excellent thread here explaining why the 88% mortality figure for ventilators is misleading (it leaves out 3/4 of the study participants)https://twitter.com/DrJohnScott/status/1253284905414426624 …
Pinboard added,
John W Scott, MD MPH @DrJohnScottA better conclusion? - "Among the 1,151 pts who were mechanically ventilated, at a median follow up of 4.5 days, 3% had gone home, 25% had died, & 72% were still in the hospital". - "The eventual mortaily rate will thus range between 25% (282/1151) and 97% (1113/1151)."
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Replying to @Pinboard
Wow, putting the 88% number in the abstract without this caveat seems a bit crazy, no?
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It certainly does. I'm grateful to people who pointed out this flaw to lay readers like me
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