I still haven't seen many people connect these dots, so maybe I'm missing something obvious? * 20 million newly unemployed people in the past month * parts of country will stay locked down, others will reopen * therefore, we can expect Dust Bowl-like massive population shifts
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If I'm an out-of-work waiter or hotel worker in NYC unable to make rent, what keeps me from going home to family somewhere where those jobs still exist?
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So far the people we've seen in motion are the wealthy—billionaires fleeing to islands, the top 5% fleeing to summer homes. But the government is failing to provide timely relief to the working class, who will do what working people have always done in this situation—move
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The policy situation is already starting to polarize along our usual political axis. That means there will be regions that stay open for ideological reasons, while others shut down. I just don't see how you keep people at home in this situation except by coercion
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Can't recommend this book enough for people looking for historical analogies https://www.amazon.com/dp/B004H1UOSG/ref=dp-kindle-redirect?_encoding=UTF8&btkr=1 …
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The last month should convince you that just because you can't imagine something happening in America doesn't mean it won't happen if the circumstances favor it. I think this same failure of imagination is preventing us from taking radical measures today to save every job we can
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I'm getting a little pushback along the lines of, "sure, if you're PRIVILEGED, and have family, money, hotel money etc., you can leave." But I think history bears me out here—the poor will move in numbers if they can't survive where they are. You pack up and you go somewhere else
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Replying to @Pinboard
I understand where that comment is coming from, but it mispredicts the historical experience in the wake of Hurricane Katrina, which observably resulted in many people, across broad spectrum of availability of resources, locating temporarily-to-permanently in many other states.
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Replying to @patio11
Aren't we saying the same thing? That a large number of people across the entire income spectrum will move?
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I think “the comment” he was referring to is the “sure, if you’re privileged” one and that he’s referencing Katrina as evidence agreeing with you
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Oh, I see what you mean. I think you're right.
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