I still haven't seen many people connect these dots, so maybe I'm missing something obvious? * 20 million newly unemployed people in the past month * parts of country will stay locked down, others will reopen * therefore, we can expect Dust Bowl-like massive population shifts
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The policy situation is already starting to polarize along our usual political axis. That means there will be regions that stay open for ideological reasons, while others shut down. I just don't see how you keep people at home in this situation except by coercion
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Can't recommend this book enough for people looking for historical analogies https://www.amazon.com/dp/B004H1UOSG/ref=dp-kindle-redirect?_encoding=UTF8&btkr=1 …
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The last month should convince you that just because you can't imagine something happening in America doesn't mean it won't happen if the circumstances favor it. I think this same failure of imagination is preventing us from taking radical measures today to save every job we can
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I'm getting a little pushback along the lines of, "sure, if you're PRIVILEGED, and have family, money, hotel money etc., you can leave." But I think history bears me out here—the poor will move in numbers if they can't survive where they are. You pack up and you go somewhere else
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For those who want a test of whether this economic crisis will lead to mass migrations, I recommend keeping an eye on Las Vegas. This is one of the first places I'd expect to see large movements of people out of, since it's a tourist-based economy in the middle of the desert
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I think more non-ultrawealthy people have gone home to take care of family than you're suggesting here.
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Yes, that is a good point.
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