If I'm an out-of-work waiter or hotel worker in NYC unable to make rent, what keeps me from going home to family somewhere where those jobs still exist?
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So far the people we've seen in motion are the wealthy—billionaires fleeing to islands, the top 5% fleeing to summer homes. But the government is failing to provide timely relief to the working class, who will do what working people have always done in this situation—move
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The policy situation is already starting to polarize along our usual political axis. That means there will be regions that stay open for ideological reasons, while others shut down. I just don't see how you keep people at home in this situation except by coercion
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Can't recommend this book enough for people looking for historical analogieshttps://www.amazon.com/dp/B004H1UOSG/ref=dp-kindle-redirect?_encoding=UTF8&btkr=1 …
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The last month should convince you that just because you can't imagine something happening in America doesn't mean it won't happen if the circumstances favor it. I think this same failure of imagination is preventing us from taking radical measures today to save every job we can
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I'm getting a little pushback along the lines of, "sure, if you're PRIVILEGED, and have family, money, hotel money etc., you can leave." But I think history bears me out here—the poor will move in numbers if they can't survive where they are. You pack up and you go somewhere else
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For those who want a test of whether this economic crisis will lead to mass migrations, I recommend keeping an eye on Las Vegas. This is one of the first places I'd expect to see large movements of people out of, since it's a tourist-based economy in the middle of the desert
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The banks are working on that. Many of their “mortgage relief” offers allow for suspending payments for 90 days... and then paying all those suspended payments as a lump sum, along with your next mortgage payment.
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and without effective treatment, testing/tracing, and vaccine that relocation fuels a massive second wave outbreak
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