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The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

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    Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Apr 2020

    A stupid question to economics twitter. Why has inflation been so low for so long, despite all the money sloshing around the economy? 1. For an obvious reason I'm too basic to understand (give me links!) 2. For a subtle reason I'm too dim to understand (link me!) 3. Nobody knows

    7:44 PM - 12 Apr 2020
    • 5 Retweets
    • 86 Likes
    • Biso Mizanur Chowdhury Edward Zhang Warren Cohen Matt Denton Peter Sabaini Alex Richard Dunham ira
    41 replies 5 retweets 86 likes
      1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Apr 2020

        (You cannot underestimate my knowledge in this domain. Perfectly fine to link me "money is a store of value, and can be exchanged for goods and services"-level stuff, as long as it's not about Bitcoin)

        3 replies 0 retweets 40 likes
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      2. Garrett Wollman‏ @garrett_wollman 12 Apr 2020

        Not so much that it's "kept pace", but that the threat or actuality of outsourcing has kept wages artificially low in developed countries, which keeps a lid on traditional wage-driven inflation mechanisms that featured in the manufacturing-heavy economy of the 50s–70s.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. Garrett Wollman‏ @garrett_wollman 12 Apr 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        I'm not an economist, but I've seen it said that the answer is mostly China (and other developing countries, but mostly China).

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. A‏ @diptinto 12 Apr 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        More money chasing a scarce resource causes inflation. Most of the extra money has flowed to a relatively small group that was already affluent hence marginal propensity to consume normal goods is low. Compare inflation of sports teams, penthouses, and prime waterfront property.

        1 reply 1 retweet 55 likes
      3. Sarah T., disagreeable leftist stranger‏ @saraht_74 12 Apr 2020
        Replying to @diptinto @Pinboard

        I'm sure there are more complex forces playing into it, but I think this is basically the right answer. The money that might have gone into ordinary people's pockets, stimulating demand, pushing up prices, and driving inflation, is instead locked up in unicorns and supertalls.

        0 replies 0 retweets 19 likes
      4. End of conversation
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      2. Eternity Research Group’s Excess Death Program‏ @ilrosso_ 12 Apr 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        I view this as a failure of orthodox economics, but I know we do not share political priors. Here is a pretty solid article from the SF Fed with background. Central banks have (obviously) been trying to figure this out for a while.https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2019/july/why-is-inflation-low-globally/ …

        1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
      3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Apr 2020
        Replying to @ilrosso_

        I don't care if we politically disagree if you have an interesting answer.

        0 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Ben G‏ @aotearoa_ben 12 Apr 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        I can’t find it now, it I read that inflation doesn’t count things like improvements to medical insurance coverage and car functionality. So cars are not “more expensive”, you just have more features. Except you can’t but a car without airbags or electric windows.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Little Free Library of Babel‏ @fivetonsflax 12 Apr 2020
        Replying to @aotearoa_ben @nzben @Pinboard

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hedonic_regression …

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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