We need to fund a $2-to-$430,000,000 prize and award it to the first person who figures out how to explain uncertainties in exponential functions to a public audience
Do you have an analogy in mind? To me, it doesn't feel like an initial conditions thing, it's uncertainty in the exponent that is hard to find intuitions or good metaphors for
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yeah as i go down that path i get stuck because nobody understands uncertain processes—we’ve got this (cultural?) assumption that once we see an outcome, it was fated to turn out that way. best i have is the weather, which people’d say comes from God
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don’t you think that folks mathematically-minded enough to care about initial conditions vs changing R-values are already the quickest to understand?
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