Four facts that are troubling in combination: * Lots of people are asymptomatic * Coronavirus tests have a high false negative rate * Public health authorities have lost a great deal of trust * A third of the U.S. gets its news from an alternate propaganda universe
My understanding is that the false negative rate varies enormously by who makes the test, how it's conducted, and lots of other factors. But it's not insignificant
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That makes sense but it's not very comforting given my already very low confidence that the US will be able to implement test, trace, and quarantine effectively. Hopefully we're able to hone in on the most accurate tests eventually
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Is that pre or post bayesian probabilities? I thought the sensitivities were in the 90+% range. But then again there so few test going around and given in such specific conditions that even with 90+%, you probably still have covid since the background population is dying folks.
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