Amidst all the worthy talk of 'flattening the curve', I don't think we've talked about or internalized the idea that at-risk people, including essentially everyone over a certain age, are going to have to stay in long-term isolation until there is a treatment, vaccine, or cure
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By delaying the moment when most people would have gotten sick and recovered, it might even be making things worse for people who absolutely can't risk getting sick, by prolonging the period of risk and isolation. It's a weird tension and hard to talk about!
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In general, there's a tendency in public messaging to promise that "things will be over by summer" which I think is going to lead to a lot of anger down the road.
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You're not going to Disneyland in July. Unless we get enough test kits and it's 'seropositive week', where Goofy draws blood from the whole family before you're allowed in. Life is going to get weird unless we find an effective therapy.
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Anyway, I'm not only the hair club president here, but also a client, trying to keep an at-risk parent safe from the world for God knows how long. My deepest sympathies to everyone else with a loved one to care for who is in a high risk category.
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100% agree, with the caveat that reducing hospital burden *also* helps those at very high risk. If hospital capacity saturates, and triage decisions need to be made those at very high risk also become those most likely to be denied life-saving care.
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I live with an at risk person (my younger brother) and my behavior will not approach normalcy for a very long time
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It's especially hard if you live with them, since you become scared of becoming the person who gets them sick! My heartfelt wishes to you both.
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Right, a lot of these people will still die, only later. A lot of them would otherwise have died of the flu. The only other factor is group immunity, which will build slower because we need to stay within hospital capacity. This virus almost seems optimised to hog resources.
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>The point of all our current social distancing is to stay within the capacity of the hospital system That's true if the strategy is "herd immunity", but not true if the strategy is "suppress, then eradicate". With suppression, the point of SD is to bring cases close to zero.
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When we get back to very low cases, we can maintain containment using ubiquitous testing, rapid and thorough contact tracing, and targeted isolation. Containment allows us to relax social distancing, until eventually a vaccine allows us to eradicate the disease.
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