Japan is going to turn out to be an interesting case study of "what if we ONLY do masks". And apparently they work pretty well, because the hospitals aren't full yethttps://twitter.com/JamesSurowiecki/status/1244020197759102976 …
-
Show this thread
-
Replying to @Pinboard
It seems to me that the Japanese response was a little bit more sophisticated. A central government agency, prevention of large-scale infection clusters, suspending large events and all schools, and an entrance policy for medical services may have helped. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Japan#Phase_2:_Mitigation …
2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @schmidt_fu
There was no prevention of large-scale clusters. They have random spread at things like music concerts, they just refuse to test. The large event suspensions and school closings were a real thing, but now that's mostly over as people hang out in groups outside school
1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes -
Replying to @Pinboard
I'm referring to this section: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_Japan#Cluster_countermeasures … I haven't seen anything remotely similar to that in the German response so far.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @schmidt_fu @Pinboard
Yup, they acted early and did a lot. There's plenty of actual data for this so you don't have to rely on western journalists wandering around looking at cherry blossoms, eg Tokyo train usage basically halved for the first 2 weeks of March https://www.sponichi.co.jp/society/news/2020/03/18/kiji/20200317s00042000372000c.html …
1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes -
Replying to @edmundedgar @schmidt_fu
They also failed to do a lot, like cut weekend travel between Osaka and Kobe when it became apparent that coronavirus was spreading there. Complacency has set in and we're about to see the fruits of it
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @Pinboard @schmidt_fu
Definitely true. But it's really bad to feed this wrong narrative that they did nothing, because the whole policy problem for the next year(?) is going to be how to navigate between "do nothing" and "nobody leaves their house, ever", and Japan is an early and important data point
2 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
That's a good point, and I'll be more careful in my phrasing. Thank you!
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.