By its own figures (leaked by the governor of Osaka prefecture), the ministry of health is expecting some 3300 cases the week of March 28 in just Osaka and Hyogo prefectures alone. Nothing adds up here.
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The numbers are a simple projection based on trends without them doing anything. No one in the national government is saying things are controlled or cases won't increase in Japan - they will. The question is how much. We'll know in 10 days but that's what we said two weeks ago.
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Oh, it’s been ten days incidentally. Japan cases growing, but growth still on a linear trajectory, not exponential. Deaths thankfully still below 100.
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