By its own figures (leaked by the governor of Osaka prefecture), the ministry of health is expecting some 3300 cases the week of March 28 in just Osaka and Hyogo prefectures alone. Nothing adds up here.
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Replying to @Pinboard @Birdyword
If you posit somewhere between 10-20k cases in Japan right now, that would not show up as an overload of the hospital system yet, would it? We'll find out either way in the next two weeks
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Replying to @Birdyword
Japan has much more capacity per unit population, which in this case may turn out to be a curse, not a blessing
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Replying to @Birdyword
I am hampered here by my total ignorance of the language, press culture, medical system, political context, public health infrastructure, reporting standards, and basic virology. But I have some strong opinions!
11:16 PM - 22 Mar 2020
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