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The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Mar 2020

      The data I'd really, really like to see is the number of COVID-19-related hospitalizations by day in NYC.... how fast is that growing? It is very hard to make reliable inferences solely from the number of positive tests.

      167 replies 507 retweets 5,656 likes
      Show this thread
    2. (((David Shor)))‏Verified account @davidshor 19 Mar 2020
      Replying to @NateSilver538

      Have you seen this?https://github.com/weinbergerlab/covid19_syndromic/blob/master/R/appNYC.R …

      2 replies 3 retweets 47 likes
    3. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Mar 2020
      Replying to @davidshor

      I have not. Have been goofing around with my own models, though. The key is really what R0 has been for the past 5-15 days in NYC and how quickly it has diminished.

      7 replies 4 retweets 155 likes
    4. (((David Shor)))‏Verified account @davidshor 19 Mar 2020
      Replying to @NateSilver538

      Haven’t read the math and this doesn’t do sub-national, but the estimated R0 over time by country stuff here is great https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/current-patterns-transmission/global-time-varying-transmission.html …

      3 replies 8 retweets 31 likes
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 19 Mar 2020
      Replying to @davidshor @NateSilver538

      Hey you guys were both doing so good with the "I won't use my stats knowledge to speculate in public on epidemiology"

      10:06 PM - 19 Mar 2020
      • 2 Retweets
      • 13 Likes
      • Shabby Tigers chris 🌲🌲🐻🏬🏢 Noah Big League 🌋Truth Lil Brood X 🌋 Alessandro Bigoni Drord is New Jerseyan, just finds Mississippi neat Galen Ward Pras Francis, MD PhD
      1 reply 2 retweets 13 likes
        1. roon‏ @tszzl 19 Mar 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard @davidshor @NateSilver538

          Speculating in public is purely a good thing. Use your best judgement as to how good their analysis is

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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