I'm helping my mom, who is in the highest risk category, get home from Japan right now, so I'm pretty alive to the dangers. But I think a lot of computer people in particular are being publicly dramatic in a way that does not reflect well on our understanding of the world.
How many people get seriously sick and die, how many people get sick and don't have symptoms, or very light symptoms, what groups are especially at risk
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We know the answers to these questions now. The problem is, each time we reject those answers and ask for a repeat of the experiment, it takes a month — because cases take that long to resolve. If we base real actions on this data, that’s 4-6 epidemic doublings.
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This was interesting: evidence that Hong Kong is doing well because they're taking extreme measures already:https://twitter.com/lymanstoneky/status/1235039957133045760 …
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