There are a *lot* of outcomes where you have what would ordinarily be a fairly traditional Biden vs. Sanders one-on-one battle—probably with Sanders having a slight advantage—but also with 1 to 3 zombie candidates who have zero chance at a *majority* sucking up delegates.
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To some extent it can also be a self-fulfilling prophecy. Any of Pete, Klob, Bloomberg and Warren can tell themselves as a story where a contested convention is "inevitable", so they stay in. But the contested convention is only likely *because* they remain in the race.
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A big design flaw is having Super Tuesday (35% of all delegates!) so close to SC. If you had, say, Michigan next week as a buffer, or even just a 10-day window with a debate and time for campaigns to pick up signals from voters/donors/polls/etc, these dynamics would be different.
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There's also an incipient epidemic that it appears disproportionately affects the elderly, and that must enter into the minds of the younger "zombie" candidates
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