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The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Feb 2020

      Pinboard Retweeted dcg1114

      The evidence is pretty overwhelming that door knocking just isn't useful for Federal campaigns. We tried this in 2018 too, funding some of the best-organized field teams in the country, and got a null result.https://twitter.com/dcg1114/status/1227449293281415168 …

      Pinboard added,

      dcg1114 @dcg1114
      This is my town: we started knocking on doors in May convinced that personal persuasion was powerful. We knocked on these doors for 10 months, and the staff and volunteers were committed and worked like hell. We got 308 votes. Politics will break your heart. pic.twitter.com/4wDGSbaYeq
      37 replies 78 retweets 313 likes
      Show this thread
    2. daeveningglow‏ @InlandCaGuy 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      Seems to be a lot of this "are field orgs necessary" talk going around today. If not, sure seems like campaigns should launch closer to election day to preserve their $. Kamala Harris could be making an electability pitch in South Carolina right now.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    3. Mr. Nick Beaudrot (3 years of Summer School)‏ @nbeaudrot 13 Feb 2020
      Replying to @InlandCaGuy @Pinboard

      yes. The early state model is good because you can test-drive your message without having to raise national $. But we've inverted the whole thing with campaigns building national field orgs 6 mos before Iowa. We just have to treat Obama '08 as the exception that tests the rule.

      4 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    4. daeveningglow‏ @InlandCaGuy 13 Feb 2020
      Replying to @nbeaudrot @Pinboard

      I'm not into the early state model, but I do think whether you change that or not, the DNC should start debates in November and give campaigns less incentive to launch early. My ideal plan is to have CA pass winner-take-all RCV, which would force every other state to do the same.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Mr. Nick Beaudrot (3 years of Summer School)‏ @nbeaudrot 13 Feb 2020
      Replying to @InlandCaGuy @Pinboard

      Yes, penalizing campaigns that spent money too early would help. The early state thing is mostly orthogonal, I suppose.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Mr. Nick Beaudrot (3 years of Summer School)‏ @nbeaudrot 13 Feb 2020
      Replying to @nbeaudrot @InlandCaGuy @Pinboard

      We should be eyes open that these sorts of changes would increase the influence of various "influencers" who have only some connection to the actual party - Crooked Media, op-ed columnists, Joe Rogan, AM news/talk TV hosts, etc.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. daeveningglow‏ @InlandCaGuy 13 Feb 2020
      Replying to @nbeaudrot @Pinboard

      I could see that possibility..I am not sure I'd penalize candidates for spending early. I'd just hold the debates later and hope that signal, as well as maybe looking at how Harris and Booker faltered vs. how Bloomberg's late entry seems to be working would change things.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. sys‏ @ksusys 13 Feb 2020
      Replying to @InlandCaGuy @nbeaudrot @Pinboard

      bloomberg and steyer were only able to launch late because they had an overwhelming money advantage. patrick, who has a great resume and is a dynamic campaigner, tried it and got absolutely nowhere.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    9. Mr. Nick Beaudrot (3 years of Summer School)‏ @nbeaudrot 13 Feb 2020
      Replying to @ksusys @InlandCaGuy @Pinboard

      My original thinking was that you start early to build a small dollar donor base, which then funds you through the primaries and also gooses what you can raise in the general. But other than Sanders and maybe Warren they're all fighting over the same ~500K people.

      2 replies 1 retweet 1 like
    10. sys‏ @ksusys 13 Feb 2020
      Replying to @nbeaudrot @InlandCaGuy @Pinboard

      i think people may need to come to the realization that small donors can't and won't fund everyone. it works for sanders, it has worked for in a few state and house races. there aren't enough donors to fund 20 pres candidates. there aren't enough to fund 500 cong. candidates.

      3 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 13 Feb 2020
      Replying to @ksusys @nbeaudrot @InlandCaGuy

      There's more than enough small and medium donors to fund all of Congress, but it requires some organizing and marketing effort

      11:19 AM - 13 Feb 2020
      • 4 Likes
      • Eli Courtwright Henry Porter 🌋 Ben Mr. Nick Beaudrot (3 years of Summer School)
      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. sys‏ @ksusys 13 Feb 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard @nbeaudrot @InlandCaGuy

          is there? or is there right now, because of trump?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Mr. Nick Beaudrot (3 years of Summer School)‏ @nbeaudrot 13 Feb 2020
          Replying to @ksusys @Pinboard @InlandCaGuy

          Yeah I have to say I've been really surprised by House fundraising, but who knows if that will persist once Democrats take the House (2010 says it won't). It might just be an artifact of coalition shifting.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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