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@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Feb 2020

      Pinboard Retweeted dcg1114

      The evidence is pretty overwhelming that door knocking just isn't useful for Federal campaigns. We tried this in 2018 too, funding some of the best-organized field teams in the country, and got a null result.https://twitter.com/dcg1114/status/1227449293281415168 …

      Pinboard added,

      dcg1114 @dcg1114
      This is my town: we started knocking on doors in May convinced that personal persuasion was powerful. We knocked on these doors for 10 months, and the staff and volunteers were committed and worked like hell. We got 308 votes. Politics will break your heart. pic.twitter.com/4wDGSbaYeq
      37 replies 78 retweets 313 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Henry Farrell‏Verified account @henryfarrell 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      There’s a political science literature on this, suggesting that personal canvassing works - https://isps.yale.edu/sites/default/files/publication/2012/12/ISPS00-001.pdf …. Unfortunately, everyone has read it, so that efforts, like much else in political campaigns, likely cancel each other out.

      2 replies 1 retweet 14 likes
    3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @henryfarrell

      This is from 2000; there's more recent work suggesting it is ineffective. Trying to find the cite.

      3 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
    4. Henry Farrell‏Verified account @henryfarrell 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      Which is probably mostly about prejudice reduction but in practice might be boosted by the lack of a competitive environment where both sides are using the same playbook.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @henryfarrell

      Here you go: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3042867 …

      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    6. Henry Farrell‏Verified account @henryfarrell 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard

      Yes - it’s had a lot of impact (Broockman was one of the coauthors on the transphobia paper, as well as the discoverer of the aforementioned research fraud). Notable that it finds that nothing much else works either. @hugoreasoning has good discussion in his new book.

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    7. Micah Sifry‏ @Mlsif 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @henryfarrell @Pinboard @hugoreasoning

      Have you looked at the latest Broockman and Kalla paper, which shows that deep canvassing does work? https://www.vox.com/2020/1/29/21065620/broockman-kalla-deep-canvassing …

      1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
    8. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @Mlsif @henryfarrell @hugoreasoning

      I have. But think of the practical situation this implies: J. Random College Student knocks on your door with a clipboard, and you have a ten-minute deep conversation about a profoundly personal issue with this young stranger, while they try to feign empathy. It's not realistic.

      3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    9. Micah Sifry‏ @Mlsif 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @Pinboard @henryfarrell @hugoreasoning

      Your cynicism is unwarranted. I was just part of a group of 85 deep canvassers in Bucks County and we were decidedly not "random college students" but more typically ordinary middle-aged mostly white folks. We were well-trained, no empathy was feigned, and voters moved.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Feb 2020
      Replying to @Mlsif @henryfarrell @hugoreasoning

      First, you know my work and have no right to call me cynical. Second, everyone has a feel-good experience canvassing. I had many. That is part of what makes the experience powerful for participants, and blinds them to all unwelcome evidence about its actual efficacy

      1:31 PM - 12 Feb 2020
      • 11 Likes
      • Sara Manns J4 Michael Gebis Stephen Pryor Erin Newton Syncopated Minor Chords Vollrathian Daniel Griffin
      1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Micah Sifry‏ @Mlsif 12 Feb 2020
          Replying to @Pinboard @henryfarrell @hugoreasoning

          Your tweets on this thread read to me as overly critical. Traditional canvassing can up turnout a few points. It wasn’t going to save that PA race after redistricting. And deep canvassing is showing stronger results but hasn’t yet been tried at scale.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 12 Feb 2020
          Replying to @Mlsif @henryfarrell @hugoreasoning

          That PA race showed no effects from a year of the most intense, well-organized canvassing the DCCC had seen in any House race. I'm not talking about victory, but simply a discernible effect on votes. Everyone agrees field can help a bit on turnout, that's not our disagreement.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies

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