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The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

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    Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 4 Feb 2020

    Pinboard Retweeted Dave Weigel

    Without taking anything away from Sanders's strong performance, this will be a big question from Iowa. Why don't the stadium events, 10x larger than any other candidate, translate into votes? Everyone in the audiences pinky-swore that they would caucus!https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1224825621307674625 …

    Pinboard added,

    Dave WeigelVerified account @daveweigel
    If you’re Sanders, what has to worry you, even if you eke out the #IACaucus popular vote, is that the turnout surge just didn’t happen. Knocking 500,000 donors in one month won’t even equal 50,000 votes.
    4:46 PM - 4 Feb 2020
    • 6 Retweets
    • 30 Likes
    • jobelenus.eng 💉🎉 jsled 🧦 Martin Gelin ரமணன் சிவரஞ்சன் nuckles87 Robert McClellan Eli Mallon xn--cr8h subtle himbo body (375/400#DL)
    7 replies 6 retweets 30 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Amy Lynne‏ @anyweighs 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        I read somewhere that younger voter turnout (those under 45) was up something like 8% from 2016, so not sure what Dave was expecting. That seems like Bernie's base, and they turned them out...

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Amy Lynne‏ @anyweighs 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @anyweighs @Pinboard

        ah, here you gopic.twitter.com/1sSiMbuLUn

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Jim Pugh‏Verified account @dr_pugh 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        Jim Pugh Retweeted Sunrise Movement  🌅

        Turnout amongst those under 45 was up more than 20% as a share of the total electorate, while it dropped considerably amongst people 45 and over. While not a massive surge, this does point to Bernie boosting turnout for younger folks.https://twitter.com/sunrisemvmt/status/1224735948690227200 …

        Jim Pugh added,

        Sunrise Movement  🌅Verified account @sunrisemvmt
        Good morning 🌞 The official Iowa results still aren't out yet... but @washingtonpost entrance polls show some good news: youth voter share jumped A THIRD from 2016 levels. Looks like we're a force to be reckoned with 🙃 pic.twitter.com/vRmt5iWWs8
        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Joel 𝓓𝓾𝓮𝓬𝓴  🕯 🦴‏ @joeld 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        Because caucuses are terrible

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. all work and no claire‏ @electric_claire 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        I wouldn't take Iowa as strong evidence of a problem given the difficulty of actually caucusing

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @electric_claire

        There's an element of special pleading there, but I agree that a primary will be a good test

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Nied‏ @B_Nied 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        If only Sanders had some way of testing this theory a while back! Say exactly four years ago.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Mike Disbrow‏ @mdisbrow 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        Didn’t I see the 18-44 demo made up like 45% of turnout, and previous years it was ~30%? 1/3 of first timers were for Sanders. That’s not the ~60% from 2016 but also more than a few candidates from which to choose.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @mdisbrow

        I think that's from pre-caucus interviews? I'm looking forward to seeing the turnout figures

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Tom Bigwood‏ @tom_bigwood 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Pinboard

        I think political tourism is at play a little bit. I have several politically active friends who would drive to Iowa to see Bernie like other people would drive to see Phish.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 4 Feb 2020
        Replying to @tom_bigwood

        For sure. A third of his audience in Sioux City was from South Dakota (an opening speaker asked for a show of hands). But his crowds were huge across Iowa, even in the dark interior.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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