I read somewhere that younger voter turnout (those under 45) was up something like 8% from 2016, so not sure what Dave was expecting. That seems like Bernie's base, and they turned them out...
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Turnout amongst those under 45 was up more than 20% as a share of the total electorate, while it dropped considerably amongst people 45 and over. While not a massive surge, this does point to Bernie boosting turnout for younger folks.https://twitter.com/sunrisemvmt/status/1224735948690227200 …
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Because caucuses are terrible
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I wouldn't take Iowa as strong evidence of a problem given the difficulty of actually caucusing
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There's an element of special pleading there, but I agree that a primary will be a good test
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If only Sanders had some way of testing this theory a while back! Say exactly four years ago.
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Didn’t I see the 18-44 demo made up like 45% of turnout, and previous years it was ~30%? 1/3 of first timers were for Sanders. That’s not the ~60% from 2016 but also more than a few candidates from which to choose.
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I think that's from pre-caucus interviews? I'm looking forward to seeing the turnout figures
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I think political tourism is at play a little bit. I have several politically active friends who would drive to Iowa to see Bernie like other people would drive to see Phish.
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For sure. A third of his audience in Sioux City was from South Dakota (an opening speaker asked for a show of hands). But his crowds were huge across Iowa, even in the dark interior.
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The official Iowa results still aren't out yet... but