This question that Bernie poses comes up in every American election, and the answer is invariably "no". Even in the record year of 2018, turnout for 18-29 year olds was an appalling 36%.pic.twitter.com/VwaxfiSLJv
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To my eyes, the interesting thing in that chart is "high turnout for a midterm", rather than mobilizing some kind of voter dark matter with a winning message. I'm all for it, I just think that it can't be the lynchpin of a campaign because only modest gains are possible
agreed on the lynchpin! But high turnout for a midterm is a gloss for “what conditions might nearly double participation” that leaves out too much for the sake of the point to be persuasive
honestly a better lynchpin is the hard logic of identification, that popular opinion shifts rapidly whenever ‘our type of people believe this’ changes. which is why contesting the face of a party sadly matters. People fight on whatever field is chosen, we’re selecting priorities
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