Don't believe anyone whose plan for victory involves mobilizing first-time-voters, low-propensity voters, the disenfranchised or the young. I say this having peddled the fantasy myself. It's great if they manage to do it, but a backup plan involving actual voters is also needed
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And once they get older they turn reactionary, and the cycle repeats again.
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I can feel it happening to me!
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Election day should be a national holiday!
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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While extremely not a booster of the strategy in general, that graph should reads as about the 16 point increase (which does outperform each other bracket) & in this case *does* demonstrate the ability to get millions of non-voters to turn out in ways which outperform the model
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imho more interesting line probably isn’t youngest category but that weird baby food color, as that cohort also turned out higher but is a historical outlier in terms of meaningful indicators of voter behavior like property ownership, debt & attitudes to public services
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They are playing violent video games and listening to bad music that frankly sounds more like noise
End of conversation
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The 18-29 vote turnout rate doesn’t need to exceed other groups to be worth focusing on. If the entire electorate is mostly set in stone and not many folks are persuadable, focusing GOTV on the group whose turnout rate jumped the highest last election is not the worst idea.
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Agree It is far easier to convince one person who agrees with you but doesn't vote to vote, than to convince one person who disagrees with you to vote for you
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