(I understand that it's pretty much too late to act everywhere, but I'm talking about political perceptions, which will always lag the reality by a few years.)
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We might face a situation where one cohort of countries invests in immediate global cooling schemes (like setting off volcanoes or artificial nuclear winter) while the rest of the world is still trying to fit itself into a shrinking carbon budget via diplomacy and treaties.
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Say a radically green government was elected in Australia tomorrow. What could they realistically do to address the climate crisis? Petition India not to industrialize further? The separation of cause and impact, both in time and space, will make this issue terrifyingly divisive
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There's been a quiet assumption in some circles that eventually we'll wake up that the climate crisis is real, and then the world will act in concert to solve it. But I think the growing impact is more likely to create divisions than heal them.
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There was a similar elite consensus after World War II that nuclear weapons must invariably lead to world government, because the only alternative would be global annihilation. I see a lot of the same wishful thinking about climate change now.
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We're still in a bit of a honeymoon phase where good outcomes are possible, if everyone acts right now and there are major policy changes. As time passes and the set of probable futures becomes more harrowing, uglier forms of denialism will gain in appealhttps://twitter.com/Priest/status/1208355413168508929 …
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that seems bad, and then there's island nations and coastal regions which will disappear completely :-\
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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We’re still among the countries trying to sabotage efforts, demanding to be allowed to continue as is while using accounting tricks to pretend we’re doing our bit. That probably won’t change any time soon.
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Of course. What Maciej assumes however is that both the activisim and resistance to it are entirely about local concerns. The main concern of climate activists in AU is concerned with policy on coal and gas exports, and participation in global agreements to allow...
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