looking forward to being officially able to call it the First Cold War
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Acknowledging that this is a new cold war - one started by, and ardently prosecuted by the CCP - is also the only way we start talking realistically about how we fight it and how it ends.
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We never stopped talking to the Soviets. That's the point of a Cold War - in part, it's a set of mutually-tested limits that keep it from going hot. But like the last time, the greatest burdens are not going to be born by Americans.
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Replying to @BeijingPalmer @CtheLala
Is it really a Cold War? I don't think that is the right analogy. There is no crystallization of ideology in geopolitics in the same way IMO. It looks way more like the Anglo-German competition on every parameter.
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Replying to @BuddyYakov @CtheLala
See the long discussion with
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Replying to @BeijingPalmer @BuddyYakov and
Brief answer: I think this way underestimated the degree to which Beijing ties geopolitical compliance with domestic ideological stability
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Replying to @BeijingPalmer @BuddyYakov and
Consider the sheer amounts of time, energy, and money Beijing pours into controlling speech globally - especially, but not exclusively, within the Chinese diaspora. It may not be interested in exporting revolution but it is *keenly* ideological - see Xi, ad nauseum, in speeches
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This is where it gets interesting. I think the diasporic elements of it are where this might play out. But that isn't the same as the Cold War IMO. In fact, it does look much more like the 19th-century world where diasporic politics were very important in power competition.
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But it isn't purely diasporic - it's also directed, for instance, against global corporations, against Muslim nations and Central Asian neighbors - and within international organizations from Interpol to the UN.
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Replying to @BeijingPalmer @BuddyYakov and
Also, let's not forget that the first Cold War involved the US backing Communist states in Europe and a Communist competitor in Asia, as well as propping up dictatorships worldwide that aligned with its geopolitical interests if not its nominal ideological ones.
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That's kind of like saying the Catholic Church didn't always follow the precepts of scripture. It's true and very significant, but not a proof that scripture didn't matter.
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