Actuarial tables show Biden and Sanders have a 5% chance of dying in the next year, and if elected, a 25% chance of dying before their term ends. They also have ~1/4 chance of dementia. This will make the vice presidential pick pretty significant if either is the nominee.
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Death and senility are remarkably ageist and that unfortunately makes age a political issue
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Okay, I did the actuarial math. 14% chance that all sitting senators will live to November 2020 56% chance that at least one Democrat or independent dies in office 67% chance that at least one Republican dies in office Check my work!https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gWVuTPWLXZH3nB5oVMAmbnw6BedmiSz16pRv3drrlX8/edit?usp=sharing …
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Actuarial odds that at least one of (Trump, Biden, Sanders, Warren, Bloomberg) will be dead by November 2020: 17% Odds that we will all be dead inside by then: 100%
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Their wealth puts them in a different category than a normal elderly American.
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Some evidence for this with dementia, not true for life expectancy
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