Specifically, the large-scale wind pattern that causes the devastating fires we see right now, and that already dried out vegetation in the state a few weeks ago, is projected to be weaker, not stronger, with global warming
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The pattern in California specifically is not just that greedy corporations delay maintenance for filthy lucre, but that people really want to build stuff where there is a high potential for fire, mudslides, or where there's no water and you have to steal it from somewhere else
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It's pretty hard politically to force people not to build where there's going to be a devastating fire or earthquake every 80 years. There's a similar political pathology with floodplains in the Mississippi basin. Rare disasters and democracy don't work well together
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That’s not really true though. The wind isn’t due to climate change, but the extended dry season, and the increased heat in that season, very much are. I appreciate your delight in the contrarian take, but it’s not close to the whole story this time.
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This is the normal dry season. Rains typically come at the end of October, so in two weeks I won't be spinning any "contrarian take". The increased heat doesn't matter because the sequential wind events would have dried out any vegetation. You can't get dryer than dry.
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Wind: no. These five things: yes. https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/29/weather/california-us-wildfires-climate-change/index.html …
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"The California fires are not a result of global warming" is not true. Anthropogenic factors explain significant variance. You're overgeneralizing from one component that explains some variance (a net decrease in zonal easterly winds). Good summary here: https://twitter.com/hausfath/status/1188928587421732864 …pic.twitter.com/i0qSCmPBZQ
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The fuel drying happened because of previous wind events the past few weeks. There's only so much you can blow hot arid air through a forest before it dries out. The delayed fall rainfall, the other factor mentioned, is not relevant because we are still in the normal dry period.
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