PanAm sold tickets to the Moon in the sixties. https://twitter.com/adambain/status/1188866033811111936 …pic.twitter.com/18VDVCTC0N
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No tech person who had the money used a 1998 laptop in 2002. It felt like using an abacus. But now I find myself hoarding precious old devices (2015 macbook pro, iPhone SE) because they are better than the stuff that came after.
You have to try quite hard to avoid all the evidence which shows Moore's Law still holds without slowdown.
And tons of techies do quite that. The Church of Kurzweil and all the teanshumanists, of course. Most the folks clinging to the perspective as technology being a great social equalizer. But you bring this up in tech circles and you often feel like a heretic in church
Moore's law has a coupletjree iterations left, but it's decoupled from performance gains- 2x transistors no longer means anywhere near 2x performance. Performance gains are much lower, dictated by dark silicon constraints, have been for years now.
I like to think of "Folk Moore's Law" which is just the observation that immediately after you buy some electronic thing, a much better version comes out. Still holds true for things like hard drives, but not laptops or phones
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