An irony of the California wildfires: "Global warming has all kinds of negative effects, but one of them is NOT the strong easterly flow that drives the big wildfires we have seen in recent years," because models predict the effect to weaken with warming https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/10/extreme-winds-in-california-and-soon-in.html …
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The climate change link is to do with longer and more intense dry seasons, and it's pretty well-studied: https://www.pnas.org/content/113/42/11770 … Attribution science is quite a well-established field: https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/ …
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What most meteorologists would say is that *wind events* are almost impossible to link to climate change, but temperature anomalies, intense dry spells and major precipitation are actually pretty well-understood and attributable to climate impacts.
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It’s also fair to point out that a wildfire (bushfire in Australian) is like any other fire and needs fuel, oxygen and heat. Here, at least, the fires are always worst when fanned by strong winds, but the *fuel* has been supplied by record-breaking DROUGHTS. Caused by…
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The situation in California is not clear cut like that. Our last real bad drought ended a couple of years ago, and we've had decent rainfall. Plus we're learning the American west has a natural history of decades long megadroughts worse than anything in the historical record
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it worries me that the self discipline of not freaking out at every winter storm/glimmer of sunshine is breaking down, because if you do that you implicitly sound the all-clear when the rain stops
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