The various nerd models give us a 3/4 chance of winning the House. How is such a prediction testable? Isn't it a case of everyone able to declare victory, no matter what happens?
My problem is not the predictions, but the way they couple to journalism and fundraising. I think Nate Silver in particular has done a good job communicating uncertainty this year.
-
-
Well then say that instead of questioning whether the predictions are testable
-
Okay, but they're also not testable...
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.