“Predictability is making things, weirdly, slightly harder to predict.”https://53eig.ht/2ytOS6L
My argument is that we don't know *to an unusual extent* what will happen in two weeks, and that's not being well communicated here despite Nate's efforts. The wealth of detail suggests more knowledge, not less.
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Fair point. Great work this election cycle, btw. The transparency you’ve provided on tech PACs has been really eye opening.
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Thank you very kindly!
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I respectfully disagree; I thought this was a great piece, and I think that if recent history is any indication, people could really use this illustration of uncertainty. To me, the details only made the point more compelling.
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Respectfully disagree? On Twitter?? I don't know what to say to that
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