If political or economic forecasting is your job, and you get a forecast badly wrong, you should face professional consequences. If that approach turns out to be unworkable because no one can make reliably correct forecasts, then such forecasting should not be a job people do.
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Replying to @Pinboard
Except when that same forecast is used to make decisions causing the forecast to be incorrect.
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Replying to @jeremyjkun
It can also go the other way, where the forecast is self-confirming.
11:23 AM - 11 Oct 2018
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