If political or economic forecasting is your job, and you get a forecast badly wrong, you should face professional consequences. If that approach turns out to be unworkable because no one can make reliably correct forecasts, then such forecasting should not be a job people do.
I'm not demanding that anyone be fired! I do find it funny that he blocked me for pointing out his record.
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You keep talking about "0 repercussions" and how no one should trust these guys. To extend your metaphor it'd be like going on months of threaded rants about how meteorology is bunk because it rained once when there was only supposed to be a 20% chance of rain.
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If these folks had a huge portfolio of correct predictions, you are right that it would be unfair to single out missed ones. But this is more like a situation where there's only a potential rain event every two years. And there are additional ways political forecasting is harmful
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