On this date in 2016, FiveThirtyEight gave Hillary Clinton a 87% chance of winning the election. https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1050428737920094208 …
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Yep, it's a fight I've been fighting for more than a decade (And I recently faulted Nate/538 for also reporting on a difference below margin of error as if it meant anything and regularly get headaches at evening news coverage calling +/-1% changes "mood shift" when error is
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usually 2.5-4% +/- on both German and US polls
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