NE02, final. Bacon 51, Eastman 42 A good result for Republicans, though not a huge surprise in a lean Rep. district. Still, this could have been a top race and it doesn't look like one.https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ne02-1.html …
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Sampling error does not mean that a race where the poll is closer is just as likely to be close as one where the poll is farther apart. The 95% confidence interval is just a convention, and probably not a very good one.
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