I have some things to say about the poll the Jess King campaign just released. The upshot is that incumbent Lloyd Smucker leads 44-35, and his margin shrinks to a single point (!!) if respondents hear a short description of each candidate. https://jesskingforcongress.com/ppp-poll-jess-king-makes-pa-11-single-digit-race/ …
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This campaign has been full of true believers from the start. I was a true believer and every visit to Lancaster and York county has reinforced that faith. But now we have the numbers. This is, in defiance of conventional wisdom, a won race if we can find the money.
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More details in Jess's campaign email: the race is 41%-40% (with 19% undecided) after voters hear that Smucker doesn't hold town halls and takes corporate PAC money. The fact that he remains below 50% in all cases is very significant, as is the high undecided rate. MoE is ~5%
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