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@Pinboard

The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

Lonely street of broken dreams
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    1. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 16 Sep 2018

      With the voting seven weeks away, and the big FEC reporting deadline 14 days out, let me take a minute to make you really pessimistic about the midterm elections. Source: have been traveling for a year across more lean-R/likely-R districts than the average bookmark magnate.

      1 reply 23 retweets 42 likes
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    2. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 16 Sep 2018

      Remember two years ago, when Trump was reeling from one crushing blow after another, and it seemed like a matter of days before he would topple? We were highly confident in a Democratic victory not just because of politics, but because of math! The models all converged.pic.twitter.com/mSGlrQPMwp

      2 replies 5 retweets 11 likes
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    3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 16 Sep 2018

      After the fact, it turned out that maybe we didn't understand the political moment like we thought we did. But none of the prognosticators lost their jobs, or even lost confidence in their ability to predict American politics. And the forecasts look great once again! Blue wave!pic.twitter.com/swJfd6sPW0

      2 replies 6 retweets 14 likes
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    4. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 16 Sep 2018

      But the fact is, none of the underlying facts that got Trump elected have changed. People remain horribly disaffected by national government and see it as run by a cynical bunch in the hands of corporate money. Wages are stagnant like before. Infrastructure sucks like before.

      3 replies 7 retweets 24 likes
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    5. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 16 Sep 2018

      Fox News persuades millions of people to live inside its alternate reality, like before. Racism and xenophobia is rampant, like before, and those attitudes are skillfully manipulated, like before. The one thing that has changed is steady economic growth, just like Trump promised

      2 replies 6 retweets 19 likes
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      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 16 Sep 2018
      Replying to @the_edwin_mix

      Unemployment has fallen by a lot. https://money.cnn.com/2017/11/21/news/economy/unemployment-rate-jobs-goldman-sachs/index.html …

      10:31 AM - 16 Sep 2018
      • 1 Like
      • Eharding火
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Eharding火‏ @Enopoletus 16 Sep 2018
          Replying to @Pinboard @the_edwin_mix

          True. But the economy has never mattered for the midterms (unlike president's approval rating). Examples: 1994, 2002, 2006, 2014, arguably 2010. Only one that's consistent with economy mattering for midterms is 1998 (when WJC's approval rating was above 60%).

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