With the voting seven weeks away, and the big FEC reporting deadline 14 days out, let me take a minute to make you really pessimistic about the midterm elections. Source: have been traveling for a year across more lean-R/likely-R districts than the average bookmark magnate.
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True. But the economy has never mattered for the midterms (unlike president's approval rating). Examples: 1994, 2002, 2006, 2014, arguably 2010. Only one that's consistent with economy mattering for midterms is 1998 (when WJC's approval rating was above 60%).
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