With the voting seven weeks away, and the big FEC reporting deadline 14 days out, let me take a minute to make you really pessimistic about the midterm elections. Source: have been traveling for a year across more lean-R/likely-R districts than the average bookmark magnate.
-
Show this thread
-
Remember two years ago, when Trump was reeling from one crushing blow after another, and it seemed like a matter of days before he would topple? We were highly confident in a Democratic victory not just because of politics, but because of math! The models all converged.pic.twitter.com/mSGlrQPMwp
2 replies 5 retweets 11 likesShow this thread -
After the fact, it turned out that maybe we didn't understand the political moment like we thought we did. But none of the prognosticators lost their jobs, or even lost confidence in their ability to predict American politics. And the forecasts look great once again! Blue wave!pic.twitter.com/swJfd6sPW0
2 replies 6 retweets 14 likesShow this thread -
But the fact is, none of the underlying facts that got Trump elected have changed. People remain horribly disaffected by national government and see it as run by a cynical bunch in the hands of corporate money. Wages are stagnant like before. Infrastructure sucks like before.
3 replies 7 retweets 24 likesShow this thread -
Fox News persuades millions of people to live inside its alternate reality, like before. Racism and xenophobia is rampant, like before, and those attitudes are skillfully manipulated, like before. The one thing that has changed is steady economic growth, just like Trump promised
2 replies 6 retweets 19 likesShow this thread -
The terrible things that Democrats said would happen if Trump was elected—nuclear war, economic depression, the total collapse of rule of law—didn't happen. What regular voters see is more of the same: gridlock, political theater, and dysfunction. Life remains precarious.
3 replies 6 retweets 18 likesShow this thread -
On a national level, there is no compelling reason people have to believe that things will be different with Democrats in power. Team Blue or Team Red change jerseys, and life goes on like before. This deep disconnection and cynicism about politics, not Trump, are our enemy.
2 replies 12 retweets 34 likesShow this thread
I've been pushing the Great Slate so hard not because I think there will be a blue wave, but because I think we might eke out a majority if we back some people from outside the broken political system who know how to connect with voters unreachable to establishment Democrats.
-
-
If you share my pessimism, please add penury to your list of woes in 2019 by giving as much as you can to eleven races that aren't being run by Washington consultants on behalf of millionaire Harvard lawyers. What do we have to lose?https://secure.actblue.com/donate/great_slate …
2 replies 5 retweets 23 likesShow this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.