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The light inside is broken, but I still work. The Cadillac of online bookmarking sites. Alleged nocoiner. http://pinboard.in  maciej@ceglowski.com +1 415 610 0231

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    1. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 14 Sep 2018

      Xenocrypt Retweeted Dave Weigel

      ...assuming those things are unrelated and they wouldn't have "hit" lower "numbers" with lower overall turnout.https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1040580980942282754 …

      Xenocrypt added,

      Dave WeigelVerified account @daveweigel
      Nixon, Williams, and Teachout, just like Kerri Harris (DE) and Abdul El-Sayed (MI), all hit numbers that would have won their primaries in 2010 or 2014. The difference this year is center-left suburban Dems breaking down doors to get into the polls. https://twitter.com/politicsreid/status/1040411868542758912?s=21 …
      1 reply 3 retweets 14 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Xenocrypt‏ @xenocryptsite 14 Sep 2018

      Nixon lost by a very similar margin to Teachout in 2014, with seemingly (I haven't done a regression or anything) a very similar geographic distribution. Do we really think she'd have just won handily but Cuomo coincidentally had juiced turnout and it worked out exactly that way?

      3 replies 4 retweets 14 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 14 Sep 2018
      Replying to @xenocryptsite

      If Nixon had hit Teachout's 2014 numbers, and Cuomo's voters had stayed home, she would have won. I can prove this with math.

      0 replies 2 retweets 4 likes
    4. This Tweet is unavailable.
      Pinboard‏ @Pinboard 14 Sep 2018
      Replying to @mattyglesias @xenocryptsite

      This troubling pattern seems to hold across a lot of otherwise won races, in both parties. Something to think about for the next election model.

      7:00 AM - 14 Sep 2018
      • 8 Likes
      • Colin Koffel Jon Russell Fen Dave mischievous liberal Nic Fishman luispedro.substack.com🌻 Patrick Bisenius
      0 replies 0 retweets 8 likes

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