...assuming those things are unrelated and they wouldn't have "hit" lower "numbers" with lower overall turnout.https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1040580980942282754 …
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Nixon lost by a very similar margin to Teachout in 2014, with seemingly (I haven't done a regression or anything) a very similar geographic distribution. Do we really think she'd have just won handily but Cuomo coincidentally had juiced turnout and it worked out exactly that way?
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Replying to @xenocryptsite
If Nixon had hit Teachout's 2014 numbers, and Cuomo's voters had stayed home, she would have won. I can prove this with math.
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Replying to @mattyglesias @xenocryptsite
This troubling pattern seems to hold across a lot of otherwise won races, in both parties. Something to think about for the next election model.
7:00 AM - 14 Sep 2018
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