Everywhere contested is in a fairly tight race, and all the races are strongly correlated, but the pundits basically declared it a blowout for Democrats two months out. This feels just like 2016, and not in the good way (if there is a good way).
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I can't get over the fact that the dude who gave a 99% probability of Clinton winning and said, "I'll eat a bug if I'm wrong", and then had to EAT A BUG, is still blithely predicting away. Did anyone in the predictions racket lose their job for 2016? http://election.princeton.edu/2018/08/26/optimal-donations-2018-governors-races-but-not-house-races/ …
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We will be touch and go with the Gov race
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