Why is everyone so certain that their own guy will win? BBC had a conservative Brit on who wouldn't entertain the idea that Obama might win.
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@PhilosophyExp I suppose - confirmation bias combined with reckless optimism! -
@NotungSchwert the chances that the Tories would win in 1997. "Tis the nature of politics. 2/2 -
@PhilosophyExp Interesting. To influence voters in some way? Surely the best strategy is to present it to your supporters as a dead-heat. -
@NotungSchwert Doesn't work that way because the government isn't elected by popular vote. At a constituency level, yes, you emphasize...1/2 -
@PhilosophyExp Yep, that makes sense. -
@NotungSchwert It's interesting, though. You mustn't appear too confident. Labour fucked up in 1992 coz of a triiumphamt rally in Sheffield. -
@PhilosophyExp Yes, don't remember it but it was mentioned in a documentary I saw. Strange something like that had such a big effect. -
@NotungSchwert Actually, likely it didn't. It's hard to say. "Labour's tax bombshell" probably more significant. http://bit.ly/XigHqw
End of conversation
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