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Ophelia Benson & I talk about this general issue at some length in "Does God Hate Women?", where the context is a feminist criticism of Islam. If it were true that such a criticism made things worse for Muslims would that make the criticism morally impermissible?
I don't have a copy of the book, so I'm not able to provide a reference, but not surprisingly we concluded that it remains permissible. I do think you have to factor in consequences as part of a moral calculus, but only in very unusual circumstances would silence be required.
When I was writing about the debate over the legalisation of torture I was constantly met (on 1 occasion by an extremely aggressive academic) with the argument that toture was off limits as a topic of discussion & given the circumstances-post 9/11) it was dangerous to discuss it
Which was pretty ironic given I was arguing against its use or legalisation.
It's just a .... tiny bit more complicated than you allow there. For one thing, the anti-regime protests in Poland were largely furthered by the Roman Catholic church; in East Germany, by the Lutheran church. A Russian, German or Polish person calling for atheism there...
2/ ... any state-recognized (say academic tenure, whatever) intellectual, calling for atheism in Russia, Germany, Poland, would be seen as wanting to overthrow the recent past in favour of a dictatorial regime. Just one problem. There are others.
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